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<br /> <b>Strict Standards</b>: Non-static method multicat::dcSingleCatTitle() should not be called statically in <b>/home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/themes/keepsake/template.php</b> on line <b>22</b><br /> <br /> <b>Deprecated</b>: mysql_escape_string(): This function is deprecated; use mysql_real_escape_string() instead. in <b>/home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/classes/class.mysql.php</b> on line <b>263</b><br /> Divers - ramassi


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mercredi 30 avril 2008

La beauté des chiffres

Heureusement que les chiffres sont là pour aider nos hommes politiques à justifier de leurs actions. Nicolas Sarkozy pousse à fond cette logique de l'argument sur mesure. Non seulement il sait présenter, sélectionner et interpréter à son avantage les chiffres existants (rien d'exceptionnel jusque là), mais il est carrément capable d'en inventer !

Le dernier exemple est date est révélé par le Canard Enchainé. Lors de son grand show, le président a déclaré ceci.

Il y a 500.000 offres d'emploi non satisfaites.

Le problème, c'est que ce chiffre est complètement fantaisiste. Les journalistes du Canard Enchainé ont contacté le service de presse de l'Elysée. Ils sont formels, le chiffre provient de l'INSEE. Malheureusement, l'institut dément formellement. Le service de l'Elysée se ravise, en fait, c'est l'ANPE. L'agence est gênée, et déclare qu'elle n'a jamais communiqué ce chiffre à l'Elysée.

Les experts expliquent la situation : ce chiffre ne correspond pas aux offres d'emploi non satisfaites, comme le déclarait Sarko ; c'est une projection établie sur la base des offres recensées par les agences. Un chiffre pas du tout fiable. Personne ne comptabilise les offres non satisfaites en France. Et quand bien même on le ferait, un tel chiffre pourrait signifier une plus grande mobilité sur le marché, signe de dynamisme économique. Le contraire de ce que Sarkozy voulait insinuer, à savoir : il y a du travail disponible et des fainéants qui préfèrent ne rien faire (et qu'il faudra sanctionner).

Ce genre de situation n'est pas du tout exceptionnel. Nicolas Sarkozy est un habitué de ce genre de déclaration. Ainsi dans le débat récent sur la rétention de sureté, un rapport du gouvernement présentait un taux de récidive de 31%, une chiffre censé justifier l'enfermement sans procès de criminels ayant purgé leur peine. Sarkozy, lui, en 2005 avançait un taux de 50%. Las, si ce dernier chiffre ne sort de nulle part, le premier était manipulé. Dans la réalité la récidive de faits criminels s'établit entre 1 et 2%

Parmi les autres précédents, il y a la fameuse manipulation des chiffres de la délinquance en 2005. Le premier chapitre du livre Ruptures de Serge Portelli démontre très clairement la manigance.

Enfin, n'oublions pas la venue d'une nouvelle source chère au Figaro et à l'Elysée, OpinionWay. Cet institut proche du pouvoir (là n'est pas sa spécificité, tous le sont) publie souvent des chiffres très favorables au gouvernement. Le problème, c'est que les études ne sont pas réalisées sur un échantillon représentatif, mais sur internet. Pour un discours de Sarkozy, par exemple, on interroge sur le net ceux qui ont regardé le discours. Cela ne permet pas du tout d'en déduire, comme le fait le Figaro, l'opinion des français. D'ailleurs, OpinionWay n'est pas un institut de sondage officiel, il s'agit d'un "bureau d'études orienté communication". Voyez comment ils se définissent eux-mêmes. Comme par hasard, les résultats obtenus par OpinionWay sont toujours plus favorables au pouvoir que ceux des autres études...

Voir aussi :
Bilan du discours sur politique.net
Sur les sondages par Marianne2



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mercredi 16 avril 2008

Faites ce que je dis !

Le 6 avril dernier, Sarkozy a présenté son plan "pour faire maigrir l'Etat". A cette occasion il a dit qu'il ne fallait pas "laisser perdurer les dépenses injustifiées".

On apprend dans le même temps que les frais de bouche de la chancellerie ont augmenté de 30% en 2007 par rapport aux années précédentes, et que Rachida Dati, qui a cramé tous ses budgets, a demandé et obtenu une rallonge de 100.000 euros. Pour 2008 les choses se présentent encore plus mal, puisque fin mars elle avait déjà dépensé 112.356,67 euros sur les 200.000 alloués à chaque ministère.

Mais la ministre a une bonne raison, elle a déclaré sans rire que cette explosion des frais s'expliquait par la nécessité d'une "présence de la justice française en Europe".

Quand à la nécessité de la présence de collaborateurs Place Vendôme, elle existe aussi, puisque Bernard Boussaroque va démissionner après avoir rétorqué à la ministre qui lui hurlait dessus "je vous interdit de me parler sur ce ton". Il est le onzième collaborateur à quitter le ministère à cause de l'autoritarisme de Dati et de l'ambiance délétère.

Rachida Dati qui s'était déjà illustrée pendant la campagne des municipales par son sens très aiguisé de la liberté de la presse et de la démocratie... Ca fait beaucoup de qualités pour une seule personne !

Source : Le Canard Enchainé et Mediapart.


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jeudi 10 avril 2008

Les deux minutes de la haine

Le réseau terroriste Al-Qaïda n’a joué aucun rôle dans les attentats londoniens de l’été dernier, qui ont en réalité été planifiés à peu de frais, d’après des informations trouvées sur l’Internet, révèle dimanche le magazine The Observer.

Les enquêteurs ont conclu que ces attentats, les pires qui aient jamais frappé la Grande-Bretagne, sont le fruit d’un complot "simple et peu onéreux" imaginé par quatre kamikazes rêvant de martyr, selon des fuites recueillies par l’hebodmadaire londonien.

Le premier rapport d’expertise des attentats du 7 juillet, qui ont tué 52 personnes, a montré qu’ils étaient le résultat d’une opération à petite échelle menée par quatre hommes seuls, et non d’un réseau international terroriste, selon l’Observer. (...)

"Les attaques de Londres étaient une opération simple et peu ambitieuse réalisées par quatre hommes apparemment normaux, utilisant Internet", a indiqué une source gouvernementale à l’hebdomadaire. (...)

Les enquêteurs ont également rejeté l’hypothèse d’un éventuel soutien d’Al-Qaïda, estimant qu’une vidéo montrant Khan, le cerveau présumé du groupe, et un dirigeant d’Al-Qaïda, Ayman al-Zawahiri, avait été éditée après les explosions, et non avant, selon l’Observer. (...)

Les quatre hommes ont été poussés à lancer leurs attaques parce qu’ils étaient inquiets de la politique étrangère de la Grande-Bretagne et avaient le sentiment qu’elle était délibérément hostile aux musulmans, selon l’Observer, notant que les terroristes étaient aussi tentés par la perspective d’atteindre ainsi l’immortalité.

AFP - 9 avril 2006



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Cohérence zéro



Nicolas Sarkozy décide que la France doit réintégrer l'OTAN, que De Gaulle avait quitté en 1966. Pourtant, les raisons qui présidèrent à ce choix (indépendance militaire et stratégique de la France, divergences avec le commandement intégré et notamment les américains) sont toujours d'actualité. Il suffit de comparer les doctrines nucléaires françaises et américaines pour s'en convaincre. Tandis que les Etats-Unis assimilent de plus en plus l'arme atomique à un dispositif conventionnel et qu'ils envisagent son emploi sur un mode préventif, la France s'engage, elle, pour le désarmement et l'encadrement de cette force. Comment concilier l'inconciliable.





La suite


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mercredi 9 avril 2008

Contamination UMP

Le député socialiste Philippe Martin s'est taillé mardi soir un vif succès lors de l'examen du projet de loi sur les OGM, en révélant dans l'hémicycle avoir été appelé à venir en séance par le groupe UMP... parce qu' "il n'y a pas assez de députés UMP sur les bancs".

"On sent que c'est un texte sur lequel le groupe UMP est en difficulté. Je vais vous en faire la démonstration, je vais vous l'expliquer. Il se trouve que je m'appelle Philippe Martin comme un collègue qui s'appelle également Philippe (Armand) Martin", a déclaré l'élu PS dans un rappel au règlement.

"De ce fait, depuis deux jours, je suis victime d'une +contamination+ de ma messagerie internet par le groupe UMP. Et voilà le texte que je reçois du groupe UMP: +Bonsoir, le groupe est en difficulté, il n'y a pas assez de députés UMP sur les bancs. Aussi pourriez-vous vous rendre dans l'hémicycle le plus rapidement possible?+", a-t-il poursuivi, tout sourire.

Le député PS "demande que le groupe UMP respecte les +distances de contamination+ avec le groupe socialiste. Je réclame de la même manière qu'on puisse avoir un monde sans OGM, je veux pouvoir légiférer sans UMP", a conclu, sous les rires et les applaudissements de l'assistance, M. Martin fervent opposant aux OGM.

Selon le message internet, dont l'AFP a obtenu copie, le courriel a été émis le 8 avril à 20h08, heures locales, juste après la levée de la séance de l'après-midi.

© 2008 AFP



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jeudi 3 avril 2008

La vie chère, les jeux politiques et le pillage économique

La hausse des prix est mondiale. Si elle est fortement ressentie en Europe, son impact sur l'Afrique est violent. Nombreux sont ceux qui n'arrivent plus à survivre. Après le Sénégal fin 2007, puis le Burkina Faso et le Cameroun fin févier 2008 (j'étais à Douala lorsque les émeutes ont éclaté, je raconterai cette expérience prochainement) ; c'est maintenant la Côte d'Ivoire qui doit faire face à des émeutes de la faim. Pour certains observateurs l'autosuffisance alimentaire éviterait ce genre de crise. Las, le FMI et l'OMC travaillent en sens inverse depuis des décennies... Leur bilan est catastrophique.

Voyez cette petite illustration qui vous emmène en Côte d'Ivoire, dans les manifs, le 2 avril

Pendant ce temps, Jack Lang se trémoussait en boîte aux côtés de Laurent Gbagbo, ce "grand humaniste" avec qui il sent une "harmonie (...) une résonnance". L'ancien ministre de la culture n'a eu de cesse de glorifier la popularité et les vertus de ce chef d'Etat. Sympathiques relations entre continents ? Pas si sûr. Un article de Backchich explique le jeu d'influences qui prévaut actuellement dans le pays.

Voyez comment les huiles se trémoussent

La belle Afrique, malheureusement, n'a pas finie d'être exploitée. Ce sont maintenant les chinois qui s'y mettent, et qui concluent avec des régimes totalement corrompus, les contrats par lesquelles les richesses du continent s'évaporeront sans que la population n'en profite.



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Présentation

Ce Jardin-là

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Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::str() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/ecrire/tools/multicat/functions.php on line 539

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

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Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::str() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/ecrire/tools/multicat/functions.php on line 539

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

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Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::str() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/ecrire/tools/multicat/functions.php on line 539

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

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Strict Standards: Non-static method dt::_callback() should not be called statically in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/libs/lib.date.php on line 35

Calendrier


Deprecated: mysql_escape_string(): This function is deprecated; use mysql_real_escape_string() instead. in /home/gillesbe/www/ramassi/dotclear/inc/classes/class.mysql.php on line 263

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« avril 2008 »
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